Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.495815 0.566041 0.641645 0.728967 0.826914 0.933257 1.057325
2025-06-01 0.387152 0.482726 0.593831 0.732008 0.898683 1.092649 1.334837
2025-06-08 0.302572 0.409918 0.543974 0.722434 0.952352 1.237024 1.614391
2025-06-15 0.249091 0.364594 0.518704 0.736986 1.035366 1.425700 1.971041
2025-06-22 0.200339 0.315890 0.480111 0.726717 1.082921 1.573096 2.291492
2025-06-29 0.168152 0.284173 0.458972 0.735866 1.156240 1.761494 2.686946
2025-07-06 0.136689 0.247280 0.423649 0.717795 1.186083 1.889765 3.009275
2025-07-13 0.120353 0.231473 0.417909 0.743315 1.283349 2.125470 3.511768
2025-07-20 0.107226 0.218530 0.414396 0.771063 1.386121 2.378342 4.063285
2025-07-27 0.093444 0.201674 0.401265 0.780023 1.457824 2.587412 4.563240
2025-08-03 0.080927 0.184747 0.385139 0.780866 1.514594 2.775786 5.044372
2025-08-10 0.070010 0.168857 0.368301 0.777578 1.562627 2.952282 5.518906
2025-08-17 0.061149 0.155763 0.355205 0.780164 1.622621 3.156822 6.063268
2025-08-24 0.054096 0.145281 0.345757 0.788532 1.694175 3.388110 6.674411
2025-08-31 0.046822 0.132754 0.329955 0.781594 1.734808 3.565907 7.203214
2025-09-07 0.042366 0.126201 0.326196 0.799406 1.826495 3.846729 7.944300
2025-09-14 0.036731 0.115369 0.310888 0.789753 1.860176 4.018407 8.492015
2025-09-21 0.033047 0.108983 0.305051 0.800536 1.937907 4.282590 9.237877
2025-09-28 0.028329 0.098562 0.287543 0.781614 1.948651 4.412422 9.728353
2025-10-05 0.026391 0.095941 0.289481 0.809567 2.066662 4.771605 10.705108
2025-10-12 0.024714 0.093759 0.292224 0.839801 2.192763 5.157211 11.762567
2025-10-19 0.022409 0.089007 0.287211 0.849653 2.272101 5.448968 12.645173
2025-10-26 0.020059 0.083525 0.279235 0.850675 2.330293 5.699005 13.456766